posts: 169205
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| post_id | thread_id | thread_title | post_number | author_username | post_date | post_date_iso | post_body |
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| 169205 | 7938 | CVOID-19 REAL (non media) Hands on Data | 69 | Chilly Willy | Mar 30, 2020 | 2020-03-30T13:56:41-0400 | SdSurferguy said: Yes but remember for a long time they were only testing people who were ending up in the ICU at death's door. Even now testing isn't available for everyone. The dataset is skewed, especially in the United States and other areas where testing isn't readily available. I'm not saying it won't be bad, just that you can't extrapolate on those numbers. Click to expand... Yeah, who knows. That's really the most accurate data we have to date, despite reporting flaws. 18% average mortality rate is also pretty low considering that countries like Italy are almost double that. My calculation also assumes that we live in a vacuum where no one else catches it after today, and it assumes that a cure or vaccine is never developed. I guess the moral of the story is: let's hope those vaccines get to production quickly! |